Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 36.580651 42.007723 47.860384 54.628475 62.226291 70.478759 80.106946
2024-12-22 25.472238 32.601064 41.024053 51.649770 64.630228 79.900926 99.149130
2024-12-29 20.745343 28.919068 39.287788 53.264903 71.452036 94.136477 124.365135
2025-01-05 17.989055 26.923612 38.940209 56.032733 79.421736 109.965722 152.461793
2025-01-12 14.711413 23.537799 36.072976 54.804273 81.630749 118.132763 170.893319
2025-01-19 11.876083 20.248198 32.764966 52.347964 81.595221 122.906594 184.707137
2025-01-26 11.006145 19.764495 33.415039 55.572272 89.782130 139.541467 215.998764
2025-02-02 10.606411 19.943318 35.038549 60.339754 100.542048 160.507346 254.771307
2025-02-09 9.467458 18.698930 34.215579 61.116197 105.160149 172.589736 281.103878
2025-02-16 8.345556 17.305860 32.954083 60.990492 108.243039 182.415913 304.482525
2025-02-23 7.307206 15.901491 31.485917 60.318158 110.291716 190.640453 325.723457
2025-03-02 6.546042 14.906663 30.609989 60.538828 113.765991 201.242126 351.187250
2025-03-09 5.851480 13.988031 29.852207 61.049447 118.046038 213.873522 381.457398
2025-03-16 4.794160 12.148359 27.139456 57.729244 115.403520 214.967642 393.159747
2025-03-23 4.418264 11.721809 27.136364 59.503147 122.021638 232.147042 432.729664
2025-03-30 4.200676 11.617020 27.766329 62.552244 131.198491 254.285262 481.952179
2025-04-06 3.628506 10.568917 26.278972 61.198150 131.935423 261.539201 505.763212
2025-04-13 3.036506 9.352389 24.252542 58.490193 129.779354 263.367898 520.008025
2025-04-20 2.953169 9.436287 25.150219 62.044435 140.237841 288.893867 578.021203
2025-04-27 2.977660 9.814801 26.767940 67.295492 154.464822 322.179440 651.713155
2025-05-04 2.727044 9.384198 26.416334 68.150234 159.735333 338.829290 695.601315
2025-05-11 2.448811 8.819298 25.663149 68.011860 162.901222 351.589444 732.831204
2025-05-18 2.173046 8.203902 24.698197 67.271716 164.700164 361.738187 765.553682